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Crime Prevention Research Center: Carry Laws Don’t Increase Gun Theft, Decrease Police Effectiveness

Monday, July 8, 2024

Crime Prevention Research Center: Carry Laws Don’t Increase Gun Theft, Decrease Police Effectiveness

Gun-control groups campaign against right-to-carry laws by claiming that guns carried in public pose a substantial threat to public safety, and that concealed carry permitting laws lead to more violent crime, not less. Giffords, for instance, alleges that “the dangers of permissive public carry laws” include an increase in gun thefts and “other undesirable outcomes,” with absolutely no counterbalancing public safety benefits.

Professor Carl Moody and Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) have just released an updated paper, How Does Concealed Carrying of Weapons Affect Violent Crime? (May 31, 2024). These researchers examined information related to claims that carry concealed weapons (CCW) laws indirectly increase violent crime by driving up firearm thefts or by decreasing police effectiveness. Using a unique new data set that employs the number of permit holders as the variable of interest, the authors found no evidence that CCW laws are associated with significant increases in gun thefts or impact the effectiveness of police.  

On gun thefts generally, an existing government source on how criminals obtain their firearms suggests that only a small amount of crime guns are acquired by theft. A Bureau of Justice Statistics report, Source and Use of Firearms Involved in Crimes: Survey of Prison Inmates, 2016 (Jan. 2019) shows that only 6.4% of state and federal prisoners who had possessed a firearm during the offense for which they were serving time listed “theft” (burglaries, thefts from retail sources or a family/friend, or “other”) as their gun source.

Previous literature from the CPRC indicates that CCW permit-holders are unlikely to be violent criminals – in fact, as a class they tend towards the extreme opposite end of the law-abiding spectrum. In jurisdictions where information on crimes and permits is available, it shows that permit-holders are less likely to drive recklessly or under the influence than non-permittees, and permit-holders are “convicted of firearms-related violations at one-twelfth the rate of police officers.”  

Professor Moody and Dr. Lott analyzed the theft question (whether CCW permit holders are a significant source of stolen guns beyond the amount expected due to the existing burglary rate) using variables that included the number of CCW permits (and a dummy variable for constitutional carry laws), the number of stolen guns, and the burglary rate as a control. “Stolen guns,” they conclude, “are apparently independent of CCW permits or permitless carrying.” The evidence revealed that neither the number of CCW permits nor the effect of constitutional carry laws had a significant impact on the rate at which guns are stolen. Constitutional carry states do not have significantly higher gun theft rates but, because most of the constitutional carry laws are relatively recent (since 2015), “it may be too early to draw any conclusions” on their impact.

The second issue examined was whether CCW permit-holders were associated with declines in police effectiveness, measured as the clearance rate of violent crimes. Variables included the clearance (arrest) rates and the number of crimes recorded for several given violent crimes types. Here, too, the analysis showed that “police effectiveness is unrelated to either the number of CCW permits and or existence of constitutional carry laws.”

These results confirm what many in the Second Amendment community know already – that despite all the spurious rationalizations advanced against lawful carrying, CCW permittees and others carrying responsibly are not the ones who threaten public safety or produce more crime.     

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Canada Announces New Gun Bans, More Gun Control on the Horizon

News  

Monday, December 9, 2024

Canada Announces New Gun Bans, More Gun Control on the Horizon

On December 5, at a late afternoon press conference in Ottawa, Canada’s federal Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc announced that 324 additional makes and variants of rifles would be added to the 2020 list of ...

Hunter Biden Pardon Makes a Fitting Mockery of Federal Gun Control

News  

Monday, December 9, 2024

Hunter Biden Pardon Makes a Fitting Mockery of Federal Gun Control

NRA-ILA routinely points out that it is more informative to watch anti-gun politicians and officials’ behavior than to listen to the platitudes they spew about enacting gun control to protect the public. 

Operation Choke Point 2.0? Financial Services Discrimination Back in the News

News  

Monday, December 9, 2024

Operation Choke Point 2.0? Financial Services Discrimination Back in the News

The plague of businesses and even individuals being exiled from the modern economy by politically motivated regulators is back in the news, thanks largely to a recent segment on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast in ...

Anti-Gun Extremists Continue Long History of Failure in PA Courts

News  

Monday, December 9, 2024

Anti-Gun Extremists Continue Long History of Failure in PA Courts

Philadelphia and Pittsburgh have been trying, and failing, to circumvent Pennsylvania’s firearm preemption law, first enacted in 1974, for decades.  

NRA Files U.S. Supreme Court Amicus Brief Defending American Firearms Manufacturers in Lawsuit Brought by Mexico

Tuesday, December 3, 2024

NRA Files U.S. Supreme Court Amicus Brief Defending American Firearms Manufacturers in Lawsuit Brought by Mexico

Today, NRA filed an amicus brief in the U.S. Supreme Court in Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. v. Estados Unidos Mexicanos.

Michigan: Anti-Gun Legislators Make Final Push Before Close of Session

Friday, December 6, 2024

Michigan: Anti-Gun Legislators Make Final Push Before Close of Session

With less than seven session days remaining, anti-gun legislators are aggressively pushing several bills that threaten the Second Amendment rights of Michigan citizens. These efforts come as they aim to cement their legacy before losing ...

PA: Age Restriction Lawsuit Update for Blair County

Friday, December 6, 2024

PA: Age Restriction Lawsuit Update for Blair County

You may have seen the following alert where NRA along with Firearms Policy Coalition and two individuals filed a federal lawsuit in western Pennsylvania challenging Pennsylvania's prohibition on concealed carry by adults under 21. 

California: Governor Newsom Signs Multiple Anti-Gun Bills into Law

Friday, September 27, 2024

California: Governor Newsom Signs Multiple Anti-Gun Bills into Law

On September 24th, Governor Newsom continued his crusade to erode Second Amendment rights in California by signing several anti-gun bills into law. NRA actively opposed these bills throughout the session and will continue to fight ...

Canada’s Gun Grab – Running Out of Road

News  

Monday, August 12, 2024

Canada’s Gun Grab – Running Out of Road

The wheels are coming off of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s gun confiscation program (“buyback”).

Ohio: Take Action and Support Prohibition of Firearm Liability Insurance Today!

Monday, December 9, 2024

Ohio: Take Action and Support Prohibition of Firearm Liability Insurance Today!

On Tuesday, December 10th, the House Insurance Committee will hold a public hearing on SB 58, a bill to prohibit the state from requiring fees or firearms liability insurance for the possession of firearms. Please use the ...

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Established in 1975, the Institute for Legislative Action (ILA) is the "lobbying" arm of the National Rifle Association of America. ILA is responsible for preserving the right of all law-abiding individuals in the legislative, political, and legal arenas, to purchase, possess and use firearms for legitimate purposes as guaranteed by the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.